Análise do impacto das exportações de gás natural no crescimento económico: o caso de Moçambique (2004 – 2024)

Abstract

Mozambique is endowed with mineral and energy resources, one of which is natural gas. Natural gas prospecting, carried out since the colonial period, has located the presence of this resource in the northern, central, and southern regions of the country. In the last decade of the 1990s, natural gas exploration took effective course in the southern region of the country. Currently, farms have expanded to the north of the country with the discovery of natural gas reserves in Area 4 of Rovuma, which has given Mozambique a competitive position in international trade. Current environmental conventions aimed at mitigating the effects of climate change have required countries to adopt "green" production, that is, using less polluting energy sources. Since then, it is expected that natural gas will replace the hegemony that oil has today. Being an abundant resource in our country, it is necessary to analyze the impact of its exploration on the economy. Empirical studies indicate that countries rich in mineral resources have a comparatively lower rate of economic growth than countries poor in mineral resources; in other words, abundance does not translate into catalyzing economic growth. Through an analytical and econometric analysis, the potential impact that natural gas exploration could have on the Mozambican economy as a whole will be estimated(TRADUÇÃO NOSSA)