Avaliação dos determinantes da oferta de milho no Distrito de Boane nos períodos compreendidos entre 2004-2013

Abstract

The present study aims to assess the determinants of maize supply in the district of Boane district of Boane in the periods 2004-2013. To achieve this objective, we use the econometric method econometric method based on Ordinary Least Squares analysis that seeks to to obtain the minimization of the sum of squares of the residuals, to obtain the minimization of the variance of the data and the economic method was based on the supply theory that establishes a relationship between price and quantities offered. For data collection, semi-structured interviews interviews and direct observation. The source of this data was the District Service of Economic Activities Office of Boane. The results of ordinary least squares indicate that the coefficient of determination was 99%. The analyses of descriptive trend and and standardized coefficients of the parameters showed that the average price of maize was the the most important contributor to the supply response of maize in Boane district. The result of the test (multicollinearity), indicated that the variables most affected by the problem are the the problem are the variables quantities supplied and area of production, which were highly correlated highly correlated with each other, whose value of the correlation coefficient is 0.98 and to correct the problem it was decided to drop the production area variable. The test of the parameters and economic analysis showed that the level of precipitation had an elasticity, the elasticity of the average price of corn was elastic and that of the average price price was inelastic. And finally, the ordinary least squares results of the variables included in the model, only the average price of corn was significant. significant. Based on the results we conclude that when the price of corn in the previous year the previous year is high the producers increase their production in the following year. (TRADUÇÃO NOSSA)